IMD Summer Forecast 2026:
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) released its summer forecast (April to June 2026). The forecast predicts an increase in the number of heatwave days across most parts of East, Central, Northwest India, and the Southeast Peninsula, alongside a nationwide rise in minimum (night time) temperatures.
Key Highlights of IMD Summer Forecast 2026:
- Heatwave Trend: India is expected to witness above-normal heatwave days, particularly across east, central, northwest India and the southeast peninsula.
- Temperature Pattern: Above-normal temperatures are likely over east and northeast India, eastern parts of central India, and adjoining peninsular regions, while most other regions may experience normal to below-normal temperatures.
- North India Exception: Unlike other regions, North India is likely to see a cooler-than-normal summer, indicating regional variation in heat patterns.
- Heatwave-Prone Areas: Regions such as Odisha, West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Andhra Pradesh, and parts of Gujarat, Maharashtra, and Karnataka are likely to experience heatwaves, especially in April.
- Western Disturbances: India is expected to receive around 12% above-normal rainfall in April, supported by increased western disturbances.
- A higher frequency of western disturbances has contributed to increased rainfall and moderated temperatures.
- El Niño Concern: There is a likelihood of El Niño developing by July, which may negatively impact the monsoon.
- Cooler summer conditions may reduce land heating, potentially affecting monsoon onset and early progress.
