Earth4All Initiative predicted the world’s human population
- The researchers advance two scenarios:
- Too Little, Too Late: predicts that if economic development continues as it has in the last five decades, the world’s population would peak at 8.6 billion in 2050, and decline to 7 billion by 2100.
- The Giant Leap: the researchers conclude that the population will peak at 8.5 billion by 2040 but then rapidly decline to around 6 billion by 2100.
- This will be due to our investments in poverty alleviation, gender equity, education and health, ameliorating inequality, and food and energy security.
- The Earth4All report contradicted the U.N. ‘World Populations Prospects 2022’ report, which predicted that the global population would steadily rise to 10.4 billion in 2080 and then stabilise around that number in 2100.
- As of 2022, more than half the world’s population lives in Asia.
- China and India are the two most populous countries.
- According to the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), while India’s population growth is stabilising, it is still growing at 0.7% Steps taken by India for Stabilising Population
- Earth4All is a collective initiative of leading economic thinkers, scientists, and advocates.
- It is convened by The Club of Rome, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, the Stockholm Resilience Centre and the Norwegian Business School.