Goods Trade Barometer:
Indian merchandise exports could likely improve in the second half of the year, as the World Trade Organization (WTO) Goods Trade Barometer indicated an upturn in global trade volume.
- Goods Trade Barometer was formerly known as the World Trade Outlook Indicator.
- It is developed by the World Trade Organization and provides “real-time” information on trends in world trade.
- It is a leading indicator that signals changes in world trade growth two to three months ahead of merchandise trade volume statistics.
- It combines a variety of trade-related component indices into a single composite index that highlights turning points in world merchandise trade and provides an indication of its likely trajectory in the near future.
- A reading of 100 indicates trade expansion in line with recent trends. Readings greater than 100 suggest above-trend growth while readings below 100 indicate below-trend growth.
- This Barometer is updated on a quarterly basis.
- The current value of the WTO Goods Trade Barometer, an early indicator of the trajectory of merchandise trade volume, stands at 103—above both the quarterly trade volume index and the baseline value of 100.
- This suggests that merchandise trade has been picking up in the third quarter of 2024.
