Status Of Total Fertility Rate (TFR):
India’s declining fertility rate, recently projected by The Lancet, suggests a demographic transition with potential economic benefits.
- TFR in India has drastically decreased from 6.2 in 1950 to below 2 in 2021.
- It is projected to further decline to 1.29 by 2050 and a concerning level of 1.04 by 2100.
- This decline is part of a global trend, with the global fertility rate dropping nearly 50% in the past 70 years.
- The United Nations predicts global population growth to reach 10.9 billion by 2100, with TFR converging to near replacement level.
- The Total Fertility Rate (TFR) of 2.0 in India signifies stable long-term population trends, with two parents replaced by two children, indicating that the country may not experience population decline for 30-40 years due to a substantial youth population.
About TFR:
- The Total Fertility Rate (TFR) represents the average number of children a woman would have in her lifetime given current fertility rates.
- A TFR of 2.1 signifies replacement-level fertility, where each generation replaces itself. TFR below 2.1 suggests a declining population over time as each generation produces fewer children than its predecessor.
